There has been enough shocking news in the 2024 presidential race in a few short months to fill a full year, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be a much-discussed October surprise in the final weeks of the campaign.
Each of the previous two presidential cycles has been marked by an October surprise, beginning with the ‘Access Hollywood’ tape and the Comey letter in 2016, followed by questions about Hunter Biden’s laptop in 2020. Global conflicts, particularly tensions in the Middle East, could have an impact on the race, providing Trump with an opportunity to focus on foreign policy.
Here are five potential October surprises that could emerge this year:
The release of fresh audio or video
The last two presidential elections have seen the emergence of new audio or video footage, such as Trump’s ‘Access Hollywood’ scandal and Biden’s son’s controversial images. Harris faces potential headaches due to her past policy positions, while Trump’s ability to shock the general electorate has waned.Also Read : Found Season 2: See release date, time, where to watch, plot and cast
A significant weather event
Hurricane Helene devastated Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina, causing infrastructure damage and power cuts. The storm’s aftermath could hinder early voting in closely contested states. The possibility of another major storm along the Gulf Coast remains.
Increase in political violence
Trump’s recent assassinations and threats to election officials have raised concerns about potential violence. The FBI is investigating suspicious packages received by election officials in six states. The FBI is investigating the pattern of threats about vote-counting and election judges. Despite calls to lower the political temperature, Trump has ramped up personal attacks on his opponents, blaming Democrats for Secret Service staffing issues that forced him to relocate a Wisconsin rally.
One more Trump-Harris debate
A second Trump-Harris debate could potentially shake up the presidential race. Trump has declined to agree to a second debate, claiming he won their first clash. Kamala Harris has repeatedly pushed for another debate in October, accepting an invite for a CNN-hosted debate on October 23. Some Trump allies have urged him to reconsider, and there is a lingering sense that he could change his mind if poll numbers need boosting or news cycle changes.
A wider conflict starts
The election could be significantly impacted by a potential war breaking out abroad, particularly in the Middle East, where Israel’s war with Hamas is approaching its one-year mark. Israel has also killed Hezbollah’s leadership and forced 1 million people from their homes in Lebanon. This could further inflame tensions among Democrats, who have been divided over the Biden administration’s support for Israel. Additionally, it could create an opening for Trump to go on offense on foreign policy.
FAQs:
What are the potential October surprises in the Trump-Harris race?
Possible surprises include new audio/video footage, severe weather, political violence, or a second debate between Trump and Harris.
Could global events influence the election?
Yes, tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Hezbollah, could influence the US election by shifting the focus to foreign policy.
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